Five reasons why the GBP is set to underperform – Nomura

On a more medium-term perspective, economists at Nomura believe there are several reasons why GBP may underperform its peers.

“Peak BoE pricing with five hikes now priced in this year.”

“US/Russia/NATO concerns weighing on risk sentiment.”

“Equity risk-off and rotation – it’s not just a Russia story, it's a growth/inflation shock too.”

“Brexit's problems with new customs controls are likely to weigh on supply chains.”

“Johnson’s leadership problems are making more noise and distracting from the cost of living crisis.”