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FXStreet (Barcelona) - Camilla Sutton, CFA, CMT, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, remarks the bearish stance of USD/JPY.
Key Quotes
"JPY is flat, after a quiet holiday session. Next week’s CPI release (expected to rise to 1.5%y/y on headline, 1.3%y/y ex fresh food and 0.8%y/y ex food and energy) is an important input to the outlook for BoJ policy. However developments this week suggest that the risks remain tilted towards an increase in QQE midyear; which would support a higher USDJPY."
"USDJPY short‐term technicals: bearish but increasingly neutral, as USDJPY trades within a relatively narrow range and longer term technicals shift, risking more pronounced sell signals. For instance the 50‐day MA is flirting with a break below the 100‐day; the last time the two crossed (a bullish cross) foreshadowed the USDJPY rally from 101.25 to 105.44."
