USD/JPY risks a test of 112.18/111.77 – Commerzbank

In opinion of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair could extend the downside to the 112.18/111.77 band.

Key Quotes

“USD/JPY continues to slowly grind back from he top of the range at 114.38/49 (May and July highs and the 2015-2017 downtrend). The near term risk is for a deeper retracement to 112.18/111.77 (the 200 day ma and the 55 week ma). Ideally this will hold, while above here an upside bias will persist. A close above 114.58 will introduce scope to the 118.60/66 January high”.

“The 200 day ma guards the 109.55 mid-September low and in turn this support guards the 108.81/13 April and June lows as well as the September low at 107.32”.