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Greek scenario: default, snap elections and repayments – DB
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Jim Reid, Analyst at Deutsche Bank, assesses the short term scenario in Greece.
Key Quotes
“With month-end approaching Greece is faced with payments of over EUR1.5bn in pensions and salaries”.
“Bloomberg has said that Greece will use the deposits of local governments, cities and other funds to meet them”.
“Greek deputy Finance Minister last week said that the country is about EUR400m short of the amount needed for meeting salaries and pension obligations. Beyond that there is also EUR201m of interest payment due on its IMF loan on 6th May and a principal repayment of EUR766m due on the 12th May (ekathimerini)”.
“Recent local polls are showing that a majority of Greeks are concerned about a sovereign default and if talks over a new deal fail the government would consider the options of snap elections or a referendum according to the deputy Prime Minister (Bloomberg)”.
“Greek 10yr bond yields were up 40bps on Friday to around 12.7%”.
